The Soufa Center reported on March 6 that Libya remains deeply divided, with a UN-backed government in Tripoli and a rival administration in Benghazi. Efforts to unify the country through elections have stalled, as rival leaders, including Haftar, resist holding elections due to fears of losing power. The UN Security Council reaffirms its commitment to an inclusive political process, supporting the efforts of the UN envoy to implement a roadmap for elections.
Despite the political deadlock, the Tripoli administration is taking steps to enforce the rule of law and reduce militia influence, responding to public frustration and UN pressure. The Interior Minister announced an agreement for militia withdrawal from the capital, aiming to professionalize security forces. The US Embassy in Libya expressed support for these efforts, indicating ongoing engagement to promote peace and security.
The persistent power struggle in Libya allows external actors to strike separate deals with rival administrations, further fragmenting the political landscape. Russia’s engagement with Haftar extends to influencing the civil war in neighboring Sudan, where Haftar permits bases under his control to be used for shipping weapons to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Libya’s Dbeibah government has offered to mediate a settlement in Sudan to counterbalance Haftar’s influence.
Resolving Libya’s instability has become a priority for Egypt and Turkey, rival powers in the Eastern Mediterranean. Despite years of disagreements, including over support for Islamist movements, both countries recognize that a divided Libya does not serve their interests. Recent efforts to ease tensions, including Turkish President Erdogan’s visit to Egypt, signal a potential turning point in relations. A recent agreement between Turkey and Tripoli for specialized military training suggests ongoing cooperation, boosting hopes for the UN-led reconciliation process.
Adapted from : https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2024-march-6/